CATALOG DESCRIPTION

Analytical techniques for the study of interactions between transportation systems design and the spatial distribution of urban activities. Development of models of demographic and economic activity, land use, and facility location. Forecasting exogenous inputs to existing transportation models. Prerequisite: introductory systems analysis.

COURSE OVERVIEW

There are two primary objectives of this course. First, travel demand forecasting requires a description of the region under analysis and a range of inputs required in the travel forecasting process. It is the activity system which creates and defines the demand for travel and only through the basic understanding of the components of this system can travel demands be described, modeled, and predicted.

The second objective of the course is to present analysis methods for the various components of the activity system, of which transportation is a single, albeit crucial subsystem - that which ties the region together in both a spatial and a functional sense. The key sub-systems which form the focus of this course are transportation, land use, population, demographics, economics, and activity location. A variety of the analytical techniques presented are useful in alternate applications, however, each technique is introduced in the context of the sub-field where it is most utilized.

REQUIREMENTS

1. Texts
   Course References
   
   
2. Exams
   Midterm Exam: (may be required, date to be determined)
   Final Exam: Monday, December 5, 1:30-3:30 pm (tentative)
   
   
3. Grading
   The following weighting scheme will be applied:
   1. Midterm Exam (15%): tbd
   2. Presentations (20%): Due: tbd
   3. Project Report (30%): Due: tbd
   4. Final Exam (35%): Dec 5, 2022
   
   
4. Term Project
   Team Projects to be announced.
   
   
5. Web Site
   http://www.its.uci.edu/~mmcnally/cee/cee225a/ . . . Visit regularly!

Preliminary Topics:

1. INTRODUCTION
   1. Activity Systems Analysis
   2. Forecasting the Inputs to Travel Demand Forecasting
2. DEMOGRAPHIC MODELS
   1. Trend projection
   2. Birth-death processes
   3. Cohort-survival
   4. Migration
3. ECONOMIC ANALYSIS MODELS
   1. Economic Base Analysis
   2. Shift-Share Models
   3. Input-Output Analysis
   4. Econometric Methods
4. LAND USE MODELS
   1. Micro-economic Theories of Land Use
   2. Spatial Interaction Models
   3. Optimization Models
   4. Garin-Lowry Model
   5. MEPLAN, TRANUS, UrbanSim
5. ACTIVITY SYSTEM MODELS
   1. Integrated Land Use / Transportation Models
   2. Forecasting Joint Demographic Distributions
   3. Synthesiszing Population Data